Toronto Blue Jays 2024 Betting Preview: Futures Odds & Prediction

min read
Toronto Blue Jays' Vladimir Guerrero Jr. plays during a baseball game, Wednesday, May 10, 2023, in Philadelphia.
(AP Photo/Matt Slocum)
Shane Jackson @Sjacksonmgm Mar 26, 2024, 11:53 AM
  • Toronto has a win total of 87.5, but has only cleared its preseason win total once in the last six full seasons.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has an over/under of 33.5 home runs in 2024.

The Toronto Blue Jays have made the playoffs in three of the last four years, finishing with 91 wins in the lone year they missed the dance. And they donโ€™t have a postseason win to show for it.

The Blue Jays hope to change that in 2024, but the American League East isnโ€™t getting any easier based on the latest MLB odds.

Blue Jays Futures Odds

Win Total: 87.5
AL East: +400
AL Pennant: +950
World Series: +2000

Toronto finished third in the AL East with an 89-73 overall record last year.

Major League Baseball odds expect a similar outcome this season, with the Blue Jays priced firmly behind the New York Yankees and Baltimore Orioles in the division.

The Blue Jays have only cleared their win total in one of the last six full seasons, not counting the COVID-shortened campaign in 2020.

  • 2023: 91.5 win total (89 wins)
  • 2022: 92.5 win total (92 wins)
  • 2021: 86.5 win total (91 wins)
  • 2019: 74.5 win total (67 wins)
  • 2018: 81.5 win total (73 wins)
  • 2017: 85.5 win total (76 wins)

Blue Jays Offseason Moves

The unfounded rumor about Shohei Ohtani flying to Toronto was about as exciting as the offseason got for the Blue Jays.

Additions

PlayerPos.
Isiah Kiner-Falefa3B
Kevin KiermaierCF
Yariel RodrรญguezRHP
Justin TurnerDH

Departures

PlayerPos.
Brandon BeltDH
Matt Chapman3B
Jordan HicksRHP
Whit MerrifieldUTIL
Hyun-jin RyuLHP

The pursuit of Ohtani was real, but the Blue Jays were no match for the Los Angeles Dodgers. Toronto did bring in a designated hitter this offseason, signing Turner to a one-year, $13 million contract.

Turner, 39, hit .276 with 23 home runs and 96 RBI in 146 games for the Boston Red Sox last year. He will slot in the middle of the lineup, but the Blue Jays need internal offensive improvements.

Blue Jays 2024 Betting Prediction

Prediction: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to record over 33.5 home runs (-105)

Perhaps this is wishful thinking, as baseball is better when Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is mashing home runs.

But the Blue Jays slugger is due for a bounce-back campaign.

Since leading the league with 48 blasts in 2021, Guerrero has yet to clear this mark. He hit 32 homers in 2022 and 26 in 2023.

But the cover athlete on this year’s MLB The Show is coming off a spring where he hit three homers in 41 at-bats. I think his power will come back in a big way in 2024.

  • 2024 Blue Jays Schedule
    Date Matchup
    3/28/24 Blue Jays @ Tampa Bay
    3/29/24 Blue Jays @ Tampa Bay
    3/30/24 Blue Jays @ Tampa Bay
    3/31/24 Blue Jays @ Tampa Bay
    4/1/24 Blue Jays @ Houston
    4/2/24 Blue Jays @ Houston
    4/3/24 Blue Jays @ Houston
    4/5/24 Blue Jays @ N.Y. Yankees
    4/6/24 Blue Jays @ N.Y. Yankees
    4/7/24 Blue Jays @ N.Y. Yankees
    4/8/24 Blue Jays vs Seattle
    4/9/24 Blue Jays vs Seattle
    4/10/24 Blue Jays vs Seattle
    4/12/24 Blue Jays vs Colorado
    4/13/24 Blue Jays vs Colorado
    4/14/24 Blue Jays vs Colorado
    4/15/24 Blue Jays vs N.Y. Yankees
    4/16/24 Blue Jays vs N.Y. Yankees
    4/17/24 Blue Jays vs N.Y. Yankees
    4/19/24 Blue Jays @ San Diego
    4/20/24 Blue Jays @ San Diego
    4/21/24 Blue Jays @ San Diego
    4/22/24 Blue Jays @ Kansas City
    4/23/24 Blue Jays @ Kansas City
    4/24/24 Blue Jays @ Kansas City
    4/25/24 Blue Jays @ Kansas City
    4/26/24 Blue Jays vs L.A. Dodgers
    4/27/24 Blue Jays vs L.A. Dodgers
    4/28/24 Blue Jays vs L.A. Dodgers
    4/29/24 Blue Jays vs Kansas City
    4/30/24 Blue Jays vs Kansas City
    5/1/24 Blue Jays vs Kansas City
    5/3/24 Blue Jays @ Washington
    5/4/24 Blue Jays @ Washington
    5/5/24 Blue Jays @ Washington
    5/7/24 Blue Jays @ Philadelphia
    5/8/24 Blue Jays @ Philadelphia
    5/10/24 Blue Jays vs Minnesota
    5/11/24 Blue Jays vs Minnesota
    5/12/24 Blue Jays vs Minnesota
    5/13/24 Blue Jays @ Baltimore
    5/14/24 Blue Jays @ Baltimore
    5/15/24 Blue Jays @ Baltimore
    5/17/24 Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay
    5/18/24 Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay
    5/19/24 Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay
    5/20/24 Blue Jays vs Chi. White Sox
    5/21/24 Blue Jays vs Chi. White Sox
    5/22/24 Blue Jays vs Chi. White Sox
    5/23/24 Blue Jays @ Detroit
    5/24/24 Blue Jays @ Detroit
    5/25/24 Blue Jays @ Detroit
    5/26/24 Blue Jays @ Detroit
    5/27/24 Blue Jays @ Chi. White Sox
    5/28/24 Blue Jays @ Chi. White Sox
    5/29/24 Blue Jays @ Chi. White Sox
    5/31/24 Blue Jays vs Pittsburgh
    6/1/24 Blue Jays vs Pittsburgh
    6/2/24 Blue Jays vs Pittsburgh
    6/3/24 Blue Jays vs Baltimore
    6/4/24 Blue Jays vs Baltimore
    6/5/24 Blue Jays vs Baltimore
    6/6/24 Blue Jays vs Baltimore
    6/7/24 Blue Jays @ Oakland
    6/8/24 Blue Jays @ Oakland
    6/9/24 Blue Jays @ Oakland
    6/10/24 Blue Jays @ Milwaukee
    6/11/24 Blue Jays @ Milwaukee
    6/12/24 Blue Jays @ Milwaukee
    6/14/24 Blue Jays vs Cleveland
    6/15/24 Blue Jays vs Cleveland
    6/16/24 Blue Jays vs Cleveland
    6/17/24 Blue Jays vs Boston
    6/18/24 Blue Jays vs Boston
    6/19/24 Blue Jays vs Boston
    6/21/24 Blue Jays @ Cleveland
    6/22/24 Blue Jays @ Cleveland
    6/23/24 Blue Jays @ Cleveland
    6/24/24 Blue Jays @ Boston
    6/25/24 Blue Jays @ Boston
    6/26/24 Blue Jays @ Boston
    6/27/24 Blue Jays vs N.Y. Yankees
    6/28/24 Blue Jays vs N.Y. Yankees
    6/29/24 Blue Jays vs N.Y. Yankees
    6/30/24 Blue Jays vs N.Y. Yankees
    7/1/24 Blue Jays vs Houston
    7/2/24 Blue Jays vs Houston
    7/3/24 Blue Jays vs Houston
    7/4/24 Blue Jays vs Houston
    7/5/24 Blue Jays @ Seattle
    7/6/24 Blue Jays @ Seattle
    7/7/24 Blue Jays @ Seattle
    7/9/24 Blue Jays @ San Francisco
    7/10/24 Blue Jays @ San Francisco
    7/11/24 Blue Jays @ San Francisco
    7/12/24 Blue Jays @ Arizona
    7/13/24 Blue Jays @ Arizona
    7/14/24 Blue Jays @ Arizona
    7/19/24 Blue Jays vs Detroit
    7/20/24 Blue Jays vs Detroit
    7/21/24 Blue Jays vs Detroit
    7/23/24 Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay
    7/24/24 Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay
    7/25/24 Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay
    7/26/24 Blue Jays vs Texas
    7/27/24 Blue Jays vs Texas
    7/28/24 Blue Jays vs Texas
    7/29/24 Blue Jays @ Baltimore
    7/30/24 Blue Jays @ Baltimore
    7/31/24 Blue Jays @ Baltimore
    8/2/24 Blue Jays @ N.Y. Yankees
    8/3/24 Blue Jays @ N.Y. Yankees
    8/4/24 Blue Jays @ N.Y. Yankees
    8/6/24 Blue Jays vs Baltimore
    8/7/24 Blue Jays vs Baltimore
    8/8/24 Blue Jays vs Baltimore
    8/9/24 Blue Jays vs Oakland
    8/10/24 Blue Jays vs Oakland
    8/11/24 Blue Jays vs Oakland
    8/12/24 Blue Jays @ L.A. Angels
    8/13/24 Blue Jays @ L.A. Angels
    8/14/24 Blue Jays @ L.A. Angels
    8/16/24 Blue Jays @ Chi. Cubs
    8/17/24 Blue Jays @ Chi. Cubs
    8/18/24 Blue Jays @ Chi. Cubs
    8/19/24 Blue Jays vs Cincinnati
    8/20/24 Blue Jays vs Cincinnati
    8/21/24 Blue Jays vs Cincinnati
    8/22/24 Blue Jays vs L.A. Angels
    8/23/24 Blue Jays vs L.A. Angels
    8/24/24 Blue Jays vs L.A. Angels
    8/25/24 Blue Jays vs L.A. Angels
    8/26/24 Blue Jays @ Boston
    8/27/24 Blue Jays @ Boston
    8/28/24 Blue Jays @ Boston
    8/29/24 Blue Jays @ Boston
    8/30/24 Blue Jays @ Minnesota
    8/31/24 Blue Jays @ Minnesota
    9/1/24 Blue Jays @ Minnesota
    9/3/24 Blue Jays vs Philadelphia
    9/4/24 Blue Jays vs Philadelphia
    9/6/24 Blue Jays @ Atlanta
    9/7/24 Blue Jays @ Atlanta
    9/8/24 Blue Jays @ Atlanta
    9/9/24 Blue Jays vs N.Y. Mets
    9/10/24 Blue Jays vs N.Y. Mets
    9/11/24 Blue Jays vs N.Y. Mets
    9/13/24 Blue Jays vs St. Louis
    9/14/24 Blue Jays vs St. Louis
    9/15/24 Blue Jays vs St. Louis
    9/17/24 Blue Jays @ Texas
    9/18/24 Blue Jays @ Texas
    9/19/24 Blue Jays @ Texas
    9/20/24 Blue Jays @ Tampa Bay
    9/21/24 Blue Jays @ Tampa Bay
    9/22/24 Blue Jays @ Tampa Bay
    9/23/24 Blue Jays vs Boston
    9/24/24 Blue Jays vs Boston
    9/25/24 Blue Jays vs Boston
    9/27/24 Blue Jays vs Miami
    9/28/24 Blue Jays vs Miami
    9/29/24 Blue Jays vs Miami
  • 2023 MLB Team ATS Records
    Team ATS Record ATS Win Pct.
    Reds 97-65 .599
    Orioles 96-66 .593
    Dodgers 92-70 .568
    Rangers 88-74 .543
    Tigers 87-75 .537
    Diamondbacks 86-76 .531
    Rays 86-76 .531
    Nationals 86-76 .531
    Pirates 84-78 .519
    Braves 83-79 .512
    White Sox 82-80 .506
    Twins 82-80 .506
    Padres 82-80 .506
    Cubs 81-81 .500
    Astros 81-81 .500
    Guardians 80-82 .494
    Rockies 80-82 .494
    Brewers 80-82 .494
    Yankees 79-83 .488
    Red Sox 77-85 .475
    Athletics 77-85 .475
    Mariners 77-85 .475
    Cardinals 77-85 .475
    Angels 75-87 .463
    Blue Jays 75-87 .463
    Marlins 74-88 .457
    Mets 74-88 .457
    Giants 72-90 .444
    Phillies 71-91 .438
    Royals 69-93 .426
  • 2023 MLB Team Over/Under Records
    Team Over-Under Record Over Pct. Under Pct.
    Braves 94-69-3 .577 .423
    Dodgers 90-67-8 .573 .427
    Rays 89-69-6 .563 .437
    Rangers 93-75-11 .554 .446
    Pirates 87-71-4 .551 .449
    Athletics 84-70-8 .546 .455
    Astros 91-77-5 .542 .458
    Angels 82-70-10 .540 .461
    Twins 85-78-5 .522 .479
    Orioles 80-74-11 .520 .481
    Mariners 80-75-7 .516 .484
    Red Sox 81-77-4 .513 .487
    Cubs 80-77-5 .510 .490
    Royals 79-77-6 .506 .494
    Tigers 78-78-6 .500 .500
    Nationals 77-79-6 .494 .506
    Reds 79-82-1 .491 .509
    Phillies 79-83-13 .488 .512
    Cardinals 76-80-6 .487 .513
    Marlins 74-84-6 .468 .532
    Brewers 73-85-6 .462 .538
    White Sox 71-83-8 .461 .539
    Rockies 74-87-1 .460 .540
    Yankees 71-84-7 .458 .542
    Diamondbacks 78-93-8 .456 .544
    Blue Jays 70-84-10 .455 .546
    Padres 67-86-9 .438 .562
    Mets 67-88-7 .432 .568
    Guardians 68-91-3 .428 .572
    Giants 67-91-4 .424 .576

2024 MLB Team Previews & Predictions

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.